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11/8/2006 
 
2006-07 deer season forecast looks promising
 
LITTLE ROCK – It appears that everything is falling into place for Arkansas deer hunters to have a productive season. Arkansas' modern gun season opens Nov. 11.

According to Arkansas Game and Fish Commission deer program coordinator Cory Gray, many areas are seeing an increase in deer population numbers due to increased fawn production and recruitment. "Areas of the state that have recently seen reduced deer population numbers such as the Ozarks, Ouachitas and Arkansas River Valley are now seeing the population grow," Gray explained. "This can be attributed to the conservative harvest management in the past, increased fawn production and recruitment, as well as high mast crop production," he added.

Reports from AGFC biologists show herd health data above average across the state in kidney fat indices and fetal counts. "The average date of conception varies across Arkansas with the earliest date of Nov. 11 being in the Ozarks and Arkansas River Valley. The latest peak conception is Nov. 28 in the Mississippi Alluvial Plain," Gray explained.

Many parts of the state are seeing a high mast crop production especially red and white oak acorns, Gray said. "But due to dry conditions the acorns are starting to fall and appear to be small. Browse conditions across the state are experiencing reduced palatability also due to dry conditions," he added.

A breakdown of the state's geographical regions follows:

Ozark Mountains

Mast Production/Browse

Mast production at this time appears to be favorable. Post oaks and white oaks have set plenty of acorns this spring. The red oak species seems to have produced also. The current concern is the hot and dry conditions which could alter the acorn production. Currently, the eastern Ozarks oak species seem to have been negatively affected by the drought conditions resulting in reduced acorn production.

Browse conditions can be considered fair, but continued dry conditions will cause a rapid decease in quality.

Deer Observations

Deer numbers in the Ozarks are improving. Fawn sightings this spring and summer were high, which indicates an increased likely hood of fawn survival. The spring turkey hunters in the Ozarks reported more deer sightings than in previous years which could indicate a turnaround in deer numbers, particularly in the Ozark National Forest. Reasons for this increase in deer numbers can be attributed to conservative harvest strategies of recent years and high mast production.

The two years of bowhunter observation data (2004-2006) for the Ozark DMU shows 2:1 (doe to buck) sex ratio and a relative abundance of .97. This means on average, .97 deer were observed for every hour of hunting. It is important to remember that the bowhunter observation data has only been conducted for two years and additional data will be needed to increase reliability.

2005-2006 Deer Biological Data

The 2005-2006 biological data collected from harvested deer shows the average age of bucks harvested was 3.0 and 3.5 for does. The average buck dressed weight was 110 pounds, and the average doe dressed weight was 80 pounds. All body weights were at the minimum standards set in the deer plan. The 2005-2006 antler index score was 39 for the Ozarks. The antler index is the sum of total points, inside spread, left beam length and left beam circumference. Antler indices are a way to place a number value for each individual buck. The six year average antler index for the Ozark Mountains is 40. Adult doe lactation rates were 70%. This is close to the goal of 80% adult lactation defined in the deer plan.

Summary-Ozarks

Overall the deer forecast for the Ozarks looks promising. Deer populations are showing a positive response to the past conservative harvest management and high mast crops. Currently the only concern is the drought conditions which will reduce browse quality and may reduce acorn quality.

Ouachita Mountains

Mast Production/Browse

White oaks and red oak mast crops appear to be excellent, but spotty. Hickory nut production is good. It remains to be seen if this mast crop matures given the extremely dry weather conditions.

Browse conditions are stressed and turning brown. Palatability and nutrition have been severely diminished by the reduced moisture content. Available water is also in short supply in some places.

Deer Observations

Reproduction appears to be good with sighting of twin fawns very common. The two years of bowhunter observation data shows an average sex ratio of 1.3:1 (doe to buck) and an average relative abundance of .64.

2005-2006 Deer Biological Data

From the 2005-2006 biological data, the average age of bucks harvested was 3.0 and 3.5 for does. The average buck dressed weight was 108 pounds, and the average doe dressed weight was 75 pounds. All body weights were slightly below the target of 110 pounds for bucks and 80 pounds for does. The average antler index for adult bucks was 41. Adult doe lactation was 64% for 2005-2006. This is below the target of 80% for adult females.

Summary-Ouachitas

The overall deer season forecast for the Ouachita Mountains is fair to good. The dry conditions seem to be reducing mast production and browse conditions. The deer herd appears to be rebuilding as a result of conservative harvest management of recent years, but habitat conditions may be the limiting factor.

Arkansas River Valley

Mast Production/Browse

Observers are noticing an average amount of acorn production. The current drought conditions have not effected the mast production along the Arkansas River Valley. Browse conditions are considered fair, but continued dry conditions will cause rapid decrease in quality.

Deer Observations

Overall deer numbers seem to be increasing in the Arkansas River Valley. This can be attributed to the restrictive harvest management and excellent mast production of the last few years. Fawn production appears to be good with several fawns being reported.

The two years of bowhunter observation data shows an average sex ratio of 2.2:1 (doe to buck) and an average relative abundance of .64.

2005-2006 Deer Biological Data

The 2005-2006 biological data shows the average age of bucks harvested was 3.0 and 3.3 for does. The average adult buck dressed weight was 110 pounds and average adult doe dressed weight was 80 pounds. All body weights were above the targets defined in the deer plan. The 2005-2006 average antler index was 41.5. Adult doe lactation was 55%, which is 25% below the target of 80%.

Summary-Arkansas River Valley

Currently the hot and dry conditions have not negatively impacted the mast production along the Arkansas River Valley. Deer numbers are increasing. Preferred browse species may be limited due to dry conditions.

West Gulf Coastal Plain

Mast Production/Browse

Forage production is reduced due to the dry summer of 2005, followed by an extremely dry winter and dry summer of 2006. Fortunately, an unexpectedly good acorn production helped offset the reduced forage of 2005. It is too early to predict acorn production this year. During dry times, acorn production is either reduced, or exceptionally plentiful. Abundant production during stressful times is nature's way of reproducing the species. Hay production had been difficult this spring and summer, so the same stressful conditions are likely to affect deer forage. Shallow-rooted dogwood trees are beginning to go dormant or die because of extended drought.

Deer Observations

Deer population is expected to be stable to slightly increasing in most parts of the Gulf Coastal Plain. Fawn production appears to be good with several fawns being reported. The two years of bowhunter observation data shows an average sex ratio of 1.4:1 (doe to buck) and an average relative abundance of .90.

2005-2006 Deer Biological Data

From the 2005-2006 biological data, the average age of bucks harvested was 3.2 and 3.9 for does. The average adult buck dressed weight was 108 pounds, and the average adult doe dressed weight was 79 pounds. All body weights were slightly below the target of 110 pounds for bucks and 80 pounds for does. The average antler index for adult bucks was 39. Adult doe lactation was 71% for 2005-2006. This is below the target of 80% for adult females.

Summary-West Gulf Coastal Plain

Deer population is considered stable to increasing with several does and fawns being observed. Habitat conditions are less than desirable due to the continued dry conditions and lack of mast crop.

Mississippi Alluvial Plain

Mast Production/Browse

Mast crop production can be rated fair to good with nuttall acorns being plentiful. The pecan crop is rated good, but persimmons are sparse. Browse species are loosing their palatability due to dry conditions. In this area of the state, deer take full advantage of the lush agriculture crops (soybeans) to offset the dry native browse.

Deer Observations

Several people are reporting large numbers of fawns, especially twins. The two years of bowhunter observation data (2004-2006) for the Mississippi Alluvial Plain shows an average of 2:1 (doe to buck) sex ratio and a relative abundance of .79. This means on average, .79 deer were observed for every hour of hunting. It is important to remember that the bowhunter observation data has only been conducted for two years and additional data will be needed to increase reliability.

2005-2006 Deer Biological Data

From the 2005-2006 biological data, the average age of bucks harvested was 3.3 for bucks and 3.7 for does. The average adult buck dressed weight was 125 pounds and 88 pounds for adult does. The antler index was 42.3. The average adult doe lactation rate was 60%.

Summary-Mississippi Alluvial Plain

Overall the deer season forecast for the Mississippi Alluvial Plain is good. Based on herd health data and biological data, the deer populations are stable to increasing. The hard mast crop appears to be favorable, but preferred browse species are limited.

Crowley’s Ridge

Mast Production/Browse

Due to the dry spring-summer, overall mast crop once again seems fair to poor with only a few sites exhibiting good production.

Deer Observations

Population status is good. Several adult and fawn deer are being observed. The 2006 herd health data shows an average of 110% kidney fat indices and 1.85 fetal count. Both of these indices suggest a healthy productive female segment. Several factors can be contributed to an increase in deer population numbers this upcoming season: the limited deer season structure, a residual carry-over that resulted from decreased harvest on Crowley’s Ridge in the 2005-2006 season harvest compared to the 2004-2005 season harvest, and an increase in fawn recruitment.

One factor that may be detrimental to this year’s fawn survival is parasite loading. Ticks seem to be present in greater number this year throughout several parts of the state. Bowhunter observation data collected from 2004-2006 shows an average sex ratio of 1.6:1 (doe to buck) and a relative abundance of .91.

2005-2006 Deer Biological Data

From the 2005-2006 biological data, the average age of bucks harvested was 3.1 for bucks and does. The average adult buck dressed weight was 120 pounds, and 85 pounds for adult does. The antler index was 42.5. The average adult doe lactation rate was 65%.

Summary-Crowley’s Ridge

The deer season forecast for Crowley’s Ridge looks good. The deer population appears to be increasing based on observations and biological data, even though mast production has been poor to absent in the past years

 

 

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